Monday, March 14, 2011

Market comments for March 15th UPDATE

Japanese stocks overnight had a terrible day dropping over 1000 points. The Futures are showing a drop in all US Indexes of about 1.5% to 2.3%. The continuing explosions at the Nuclear Reactors are causing concerns all over the world where Nuclear Reactors are used. Many lessons will be learned here in the next few years but for now panic is settling in all countries, including the U.S. It's hard not to see a connection to the Japanese stock market and the troubles in Japan as the cause of our market drop. But our market started to drop much before the Earthquake in Japan.

I expect the market to drop again and then have a rise but the rise will be a lower high than before and we will continue to make lower lows as I have stated here for a number of weeks. If you don't want to sell your stocks, then buy a hedge like some Ultra Short ETFs like TZA, SOS, FAZ and any others that go inverse of the Indexes they represent. It will help cushion your losses. But again, think if this is a longer drop, it might be better to sell now and take some profit and repurchase much later when stocks are cheap. The chart below is my best guess at Tuesday's action in the Dow. Notice the constant slide of the Dow drop.


Here is the actual chart of the Dow after the close today.

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