Friday, October 03, 2008

The Fall of the 21st Century Roman Empire

First, I did support this Rescue Plan of our Banking and Credit system with the $700 Billion plan. However, with today’s Congressional passage of the Rescue Plan, the country has declared that the Free Enterprise system is not really free any longer. Both Parties approved this Rescue Plan. Now our banking system has been socialized and thank God this Bill passed.

I hate to think what might have happened if it had failed to be passed. But make no mistake, today our Financial System was declared dead and resurrected by our collective good. It may or may not work. But it clearly has set a precedent that times have changed, government Can help solve our problems and we need to consider how that might be used to reinvest in Renewable Energy technology as well as possible changes in our Healthcare system. "Yes We Can!", will be the new mantra. But, in the meantime, expect many to lose their jobs, in spite of the passage of this Bill. Credit may still be tight as Banks wait to receive funds from the Fed.

And on another note, there was nothing John McCain did when he returned to Washington and suspended his campaign, to get this passed. Any claim to the contrary should be dismissed as mere posturing. All of the requirements outlined by Barack Obama early on in this crisis were passed and the foundation of the Bill. It was not a good day in some respects for America, the second Roman Empire, but it had one bright spot, the Republicans joined the Democrats and passed this very required Bill.

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Wednesday, September 17, 2008

AIG, now what? Republicans still think derregulation is good?

The news today is that the Fed is willing to give a loan to AIG Insurance company to help it with its liquidity problem. AIG had a Balance Sheet of $1 TRILLION dollars. The Fed is going to lend it $85 Billion dollars for a 2 year period. For the loan the Fed will own 80% of AIG. I don't know about you but that essentially would be equal to $800 Billion of the company. It doesn't make sense unless the company really doesn't own assets worth $1 Trillion dollars in the first place.

All my life I have heard that we shouldn't be regulating business as the Free Enterprise system is the best in the world and regulation, they argue, constricts the free flow of capital to markets needing that capital to grow and develop for the benefit of "shareholders". So the American people bought into that line of reasoning, hook, line and sinker. We bought shares of Stock or Bonds thinking that it was a level playing field and that these markets and companies had some regulation to protect us. Little did we know the limited regulation was there not to protect shareholders and the system. With certainty, it has failed us as proven by several examples, AIG, Lehman Bros and Merrill Lynch and the forced mergers of some and the failures and bailouts of others. The same was true back in 1929. As a result of the crash in 1929, the Glass-Steagall Act was implemented by Roosevelt to prohibit the crash from happening ever again. Then with Ronald Reagan, we saw the beginning of the deregulation process that started to unwind that legislation and allowed Insurance companies and banks to merge.

We are now so integrated in a Global economy, that we have gone from a problem affecting just the US to affecting markets worldwide. Now, when a Bank or Insurance company fails, it has the additional concerns of affecting not only those companies and its shareholders, but other non related businesses, as well as Pension Plans that invest in those businesses and now become at-risk.

Let's me make sure there is clarity as to what this means overall. First, there is no level playing field. As an individual investor, you are on your own and the system is gamed against you. As long as we continue to elect Republicans, we will have little or no protection and our economy will be at risk. It is time we are willing to risk the alternative. Social Security, as a system to help retirees, was instituted by Democrats, and thank God it is still there for people. Many of our Nations problems need fresh thinking from the grip of the Republican party. Even though we had President Clinton, a Democrat as President, he had to deal with a Republican led Congress.

When the Healthcare plans formed HMO’S and PPO’S and were allowed to change from non-profit to becoming for-profit corporations, it was the downfall of healthcare. It changed everything. Now we are faced with higher healthcare costs every year, while executives reap millions and millions of dollars squeezed from us under the guise of operational cost increases. Healthcare is the next system to collapse.

We must have the courage to swing the pendulum the other direction while we still have time. Let's hope and pray that the Democrats, under the leadership of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, will seize this moment and positively change the equation which focuses back on the Middle Class and the Poor and reinstitutes policies that benefit most Americans not just the wealthy. If not, you are seeing the early stages of the Fall of the current Roman Empire, the United States of America!

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