Taking the heat.
So I am taking the heat over my recommendation to buy the ETF Ultra Short SDS. Since I recommended the purchase the ETF around Dec. 6th the price was $70.50 (adjusted for the $11.50/share payout). Today the ETF closed at $65.70. Yes, it is down about 7%. But we are near the top of the range of the highs of the market in the Dow and SP500 as well as the Nasdaq and there has not been a clear breakout on strong volume. So I am still holding those shares. I have added to them several times since the beginning of December. The same is true for TZA, except it has lost more, because of its tripling effect. I had bought my shares at $53.50 and it closed today at $42.86. That's a paper loss of 20%. But I am willing to hold both of these 2 ETF's which Short the market because I fundamentally do not believe we are over the worst. There has not been a believable breakout, as I review the charts, and it is more like a creep up than a step up. You need to do what's right for you. I am doing what I believe will still be a profitable trade. Time will tell.
Labels: breakout, Dow, Nasdaq, profitable trade, range, SDS, SP500, TZA
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