Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Market Rally: Will it continue this week?

That is the big question at the end of today's trading. The Dow went up 379 points to close at 6,926. The S&P 500 went up 43 points top close at 719. This is was especially good as many had seen the S&P needed to get up over 700 again. The key level for the S&P this week would be to go over 740, as many shorts would get rid of their shorts very quickly. They haven't been nervous in a while. The ETF Ultra Short triple play, TZA lost over 20% today, while another ETF triple play of the Small Caps, symbol TNA, gained over 20%.

The Volume was very good and a number of stocks went back above their 20 and 40 day moving averages all in one day. I think the rally will continue just because it has been long awaited and many do not want to sell into it until they have gotten back some of their losses. I would not sell into this rally too soon. The Dow could go all the way above not just 7,000 but 8,000 as well.

Gold dropped again today, down 22 points closing below $900 to finish at $896. This is very bullish for stocks. I also have noticed an increase in trucks on the highways the past 2-3 weeks here in the Bay area. This has been a good sign although the sample size is quite small and not representative of the economy in general. But it was a hopeful sign. I will be traveling to Las Vegas tomorrow and I will see first hand how Vegas is fairing. I expect to see some there watching the NCAA March Madness basketball tournament on the jumbo screens.

Rep. Barney Frank today said he believes the SEC along with Congress would reinstitute the Uptick rule. And Fed Chairman Bernanke today said he believed the recession would be over in the second half of 2009.

All in all it was a terrific day to help my portfolio and I expect it to continue. Don't be disheartened if it drops during some time tomorrow. This rally has legs and I do not believe you will be disappointed!

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Wednesday, January 28, 2009

UPDATE: TNA is strong today.

For those getting excited about the increase in share price today off TNA, I see the target price to sell it at between $40-$45/share. Current high today has now reached $28.88/share. That is a 5.52/share gain from purchase recommendation price or a 23.6% paper gain. If the stock reached $40/share you will be looking at a 71% gain! Keep the faith!

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Market Update: ETF Ultra Pro shares SSO and TNA

I wanted to update my readers on my two recommended ETF Ultra Pro shares, SSO and TNA. Both are now up and profitable at this moment. SSO in pre-market is up to $23.93 and that would be 11% gain since I purchased the shares on January 21st. TNA in pre-market is up to $26.67 for a 14% gain since my purchase. I do not plan to sell at this times as it appears the markets are preparing for a rise.

At the end of last week I thought we were heading lower and said so in my post. It appears, even with the really bad news of layoffs on Monday, that the market was able to hold here. When I look at the charts for the Dow, S&P500 and the Nasdaq, these indexes held a very tight range and weathered the bad news better than certainly I had expected. This has set up a possible significant rally which many, including Art Cashin of UBS, have said on CNBC is possible from here. By holding both TNA and SSO you should benefit a more significant gain that what already has materialized.

A quick, cheap investment right now could be Ford Motor company, symbol F. The current price of Ford is $2.03/share. This stock could easily gain 10-15% and more on any significant market move. There has been 12 consecutive days of Distribution of Ford shares and we are due for a change.

Also, Apple, Inc., symbol AAPL, is up to $92.70 in pre-market and as you know I recommended these shares back on January 7th at $86.50/share and again after the Steve Jobs health scare at $78/share. If you bought the shares when I first did at $86.50, you have made a paper gain of 7% and if you purchased shares at $78/share you are almost 19% on paper. I will stay with this stock and will not sell these shares.

UPDATE: 7:30am PST

It looks as though there is a reason for the market's optimism. It is because there are stories out that the Obama Administration is considering taking the troubled assets off the books of the Banks and have "Good banks" and "Bad banks". This rumor has spurred the market rise and indicates Wall Streets approval of the idea. Additionally today it is expected that President Obama's much heralded Stimulus package will win House approval today. This all making for 4 days in a row of an up market.

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